Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-03-07 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 0 - 6 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 54.4%

WSH: 45.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.54

WSH: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • PIT at home vs WSH: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	WSH 3 - 0 PIT	WSH	WSH
2026-04-11	PIT 3 - 6 WSH	WSH	PIT
2025-11-06	PIT 5 - 3 WSH	PIT	PIT
2025-04-17	PIT 5 - 2 WSH	PIT	WSH
2025-02-22	PIT 3 - 8 WSH	WSH	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	16	1	1.33
1	WSH	19	0	1.32
2	PIT	19	1	0.97
2	WSH	13	2	1.33
3	PIT	16	0	0.81
3	WSH	10	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 0 - 6 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0