Minnesota Wild at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions
2024-03-07 • Mullett Arena
Arizona Coyotes 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ARI: 51.0%
MIN: 49.0%
Expected Goals
ARI: 3.06
MIN: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 38%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 0% • ARI at home vs MIN: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-12 | MIN 4 - 1 ARI | MIN | ARI |
| 2024-03-07 | ARI 2 - 5 MIN | MIN | ARI |
| 2024-02-14 | ARI 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | ARI |
| 2024-01-13 | MIN 0 - 6 ARI | ARI | MIN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | 10 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 1 | MIN | 13 | 0 | 0.62 |
| 2 | ARI | 16 | 2 | 1.37 |
| 2 | MIN | 16 | 2 | 1.79 |
| 3 | ARI | 12 | 1 | 1.12 |
| 3 | MIN | 12 | 3 | 2.72 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Arizona Coyotes 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.1 - 2.7
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