Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2024-03-07 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

LAK: 52.9%

OTT: 47.1%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.88

OTT: 3.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs OTT: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-24	LAK 2 - 1 OTT	LAK	LAK
2025-11-15	OTT 0 - 1 LAK	LAK	OTT
2024-11-30	LAK 5 - 2 OTT	LAK	OTT
2024-10-14	OTT 8 - 7 LAK	OTT	OTT
2024-03-07	LAK 4 - 3 OTT	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	13	1	0.49
1	OTT	12	1	1.11
2	LAK	18	0	0.70
2	OTT	15	0	1.10
3	LAK	16	1	0.80
3	OTT	12	0	0.51
4	LAK	3	0	0.33
4	OTT	1	0	0.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5