New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-03-07 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 7 New York Islanders

Win Probability

SJS: 47.8%

NYI: 52.2%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.04

NYI: 3.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs NYI: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SJS 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-10-21	NYI 4 - 3 SJS	NYI	NYI
2025-03-08	SJS 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-01-18	NYI 4 - 1 SJS	NYI	NYI
2024-03-07	SJS 2 - 7 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	18	1	0.98
1	NYI	13	1	0.88
2	SJS	6	0	0.60
2	NYI	17	1	1.15
3	SJS	15	0	0.73
3	NYI	13	1	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 7 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5