Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-03-08 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 1 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 63.1%
MIN: 36.9%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.52
MIN: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | COL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.949 | — |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • COL at home vs MIN: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | COL | ||
| 2025-12-21 | MIN 1 - 5 COL | COL | MIN |
| 2025-11-28 | MIN 3 - 2 COL | MIN | COL |
| 2025-03-11 | MIN 2 - 1 COL | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-02-28 | COL 5 - 2 MIN | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:42 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:44 | COL | Goal |
| 4 | 02:32 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 1 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8