Calgary Flames at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-03-09 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

FLA: 58.0%

CGY: 42.0%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.16

CGY: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • FLA at home vs CGY: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CGY 4 - 1 FLA	CGY	CGY
2025-11-28	FLA 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	FLA
2025-03-01	FLA 3 - 0 CGY	FLA	FLA
2024-12-14	CGY 3 - 0 FLA	CGY	FLA
2024-03-09	FLA 5 - 1 CGY	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	13	0	0.77
1	CGY	15	1	1.29
2	FLA	28	1	1.61
2	CGY	23	2	1.92
3	FLA	11	1	0.82
3	CGY	15	0	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9