Ottawa Senators at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-03-09 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (70% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 29.7%

OTT: 70.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.64

OTT: 3.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs OTT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	OTT 7 - 4 SJS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-22	SJS 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-03-01	OTT 5 - 3 SJS	OTT	OTT
2024-11-27	SJS 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-03-09	SJS 2 - 1 OTT	SJS	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	18	1	0.98
1	OTT	17	0	0.94
2	SJS	16	0	1.08
2	OTT	18	1	1.14
3	SJS	7	0	0.20
3	OTT	19	1	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 70.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.6 - 3.5