Chicago Blackhawks at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-03-09 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

WSH: 63.7%

CHI: 36.3%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.82

CHI: 2.59

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • WSH at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-09	CHI 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH
2026-01-03	WSH 2 - 3 CHI	CHI	WSH
2025-04-04	WSH 5 - 3 CHI	WSH	WSH
2024-12-17	CHI 3 - 2 WSH	CHI	CHI
2024-03-09	WSH 4 - 1 CHI	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	13	2	1.50
1	CHI	19	0	1.21
2	WSH	11	0	0.82
2	CHI	14	0	0.63
3	WSH	9	0	0.41
3	CHI	20	0	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.6