St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-03-09 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 0 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

NYR: 64.9%

STL: 35.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.81

STL: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYR at home vs STL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	STL 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-11-24	NYR 3 - 2 STL	NYR	NYR
2024-12-15	STL 3 - 2 NYR	STL	STL
2024-11-25	NYR 2 - 5 STL	STL	NYR
2024-03-09	NYR 4 - 0 STL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	18	0	0.81
1	STL	18	1	0.98
2	NYR	21	1	1.33
2	STL	10	0	0.62
3	NYR	23	1	1.96
3	STL	7	0	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 0 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.8 - 3.3