Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-03-09 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

VGK: 76.0%

DET: 24.0%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.57

DET: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs DET: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	DET 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	DET
2025-11-04	VGK 1 - 0 DET	VGK	VGK
2025-03-22	VGK 6 - 3 DET	VGK	VGK
2025-03-16	DET 3 - 0 VGK	DET	DET
2024-03-09	VGK 5 - 3 DET	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	23	3	2.34
1	DET	12	0	0.63
2	VGK	18	1	1.40
2	DET	9	0	0.46
3	VGK	12	2	1.25
3	DET	18	1	1.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7