Edmonton Oilers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-03-10 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 0 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

PIT: 45.0%

EDM: 55.0%

Expected Goals

PIT: 2.88

EDM: 3.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs EDM: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	EDM 2 - 6 PIT	PIT	EDM
2025-12-16	PIT 4 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-09	PIT 5 - 3 EDM	PIT	EDM
2024-10-25	EDM 4 - 0 PIT	EDM	EDM
2024-03-10	PIT 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	17	1	1.21
1	EDM	18	1	1.41
2	PIT	17	1	1.19
2	EDM	19	0	0.97
3	PIT	21	1	1.35
3	EDM	20	2	1.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 0 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5