Arizona Coyotes at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2024-03-10 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 7 - 4 Arizona Coyotes
🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 42.4%
ARI: 57.6%
Expected Goals
CHI: 3.14
ARI: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 44%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CHI at home vs ARI: 1-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-10 | CHI 7 - 4 ARI | CHI | ARI |
| 2024-03-05 | ARI 2 - 5 CHI | CHI | ARI |
| 2023-10-30 | ARI 8 - 1 CHI | ARI | ARI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 17 | 1 | 1.29 |
| 1 | ARI | 12 | 0 | 0.49 |
| 2 | CHI | 29 | 0 | 1.64 |
| 2 | ARI | 11 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 3 | CHI | 14 | 2 | 1.45 |
| 3 | ARI | 23 | 2 | 1.89 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 7 - 4 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1
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