New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-03-10 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 6 New York Islanders

Win Probability

ANA: 43.2%

NYI: 56.8%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.92

NYI: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs NYI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	ANA 5 - 1 NYI	ANA	ANA
2025-12-11	NYI 5 - 2 ANA	NYI	NYI
2025-03-09	ANA 4 - 1 NYI	ANA	ANA
2024-10-29	NYI 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	NYI
2024-03-10	ANA 1 - 6 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	8	1	0.66
1	NYI	10	0	0.68
2	ANA	14	0	0.72
2	NYI	10	0	0.84
3	ANA	11	0	0.66
3	NYI	12	0	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 6 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3