St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-03-11 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 1 - 5 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 57.6%

STL: 42.4%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.40

STL: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BOS at home vs STL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	STL 2 - 5 BOS	BOS	STL
2025-12-04	BOS 5 - 2 STL	BOS	BOS
2024-11-16	BOS 2 - 3 STL	STL	BOS
2024-11-12	STL 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	STL
2024-03-11	BOS 1 - 5 STL	STL	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	13	0	0.67
1	STL	15	0	0.80
2	BOS	15	0	1.16
2	STL	10	1	1.48
3	BOS	24	2	2.32
3	STL	7	2	1.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 1 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2