New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-03-11 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 1 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 45.9%

NJD: 54.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.38

NJD: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NYR at home vs NJD: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NJD
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	17	1	1.61
1	NJD	8	0	0.56
2	NYR	16	0	0.78
2	NJD	14	0	0.74
3	NYR	7	2	1.27
3	NJD	15	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2