Washington Capitals at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-03-11 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

WPG: 58.9%

WSH: 41.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.39

WSH: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs WSH: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	WPG 5 - 1 WSH	WPG	WSH
2025-11-26	WSH 4 - 3 WPG	WSH	WSH
2025-03-25	WPG 3 - 2 WSH	WPG	WPG
2025-02-01	WSH 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WSH
2024-03-24	WSH 3 - 0 WPG	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	24	0	1.01
1	WSH	7	0	0.34
2	WPG	12	0	0.71
2	WSH	15	1	0.60
3	WPG	18	0	1.38
3	WSH	9	0	0.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0