Detroit Red Wings at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-03-12 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 7 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

BUF: 68.4%

DET: 31.6%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.48

DET: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • BUF at home vs DET: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	BUF 2 - 5 DET	DET	BUF
2025-11-15	DET 4 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-10-22	BUF 4 - 2 DET	BUF	BUF
2025-03-12	DET 7 - 3 BUF	DET	BUF
2024-12-09	BUF 5 - 6 DET	DET	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	17	0	1.30
1	DET	10	0	0.46
2	BUF	16	1	0.92
2	DET	16	2	1.40
3	BUF	17	0	0.90
3	DET	13	0	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 7 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8