San Jose Sharks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-03-12 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 66.0%
SJS: 34.0%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.65
SJS: 2.38
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | PHI | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.944 | — |
| GAA | 2.40 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • PHI at home vs SJS: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | PHI 4 - 1 SJS | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-31 | SJS 0 - 4 PHI | PHI | SJS |
| 2024-11-11 | PHI 4 - 3 SJS | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-03-12 | PHI 3 - 2 SJS | PHI | PHI |
| 2023-11-07 | SJS 2 - 1 PHI | SJS | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:29 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 19:19 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 09:20 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 13:34 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 05:09 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 66.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.6 - 2.4