San Jose Sharks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-03-12 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

PHI: 76.7%

SJS: 23.3%

Expected Goals

PHI: 4.49

SJS: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs SJS: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	SJS 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	SJS
2025-12-09	PHI 4 - 1 SJS	PHI	PHI
2024-12-31	SJS 0 - 4 PHI	PHI	PHI
2024-11-11	PHI 4 - 3 SJS	PHI	PHI
2024-03-12	PHI 3 - 2 SJS	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	12	0	0.73
1	SJS	13	0	0.59
2	PHI	26	0	1.70
2	SJS	18	0	1.18
3	PHI	21	0	1.05
3	SJS	16	1	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.2

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.5 - 2.7