Arizona Coyotes at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-03-12 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 49.5%

ARI: 50.5%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.18

ARI: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 0% • MIN at home vs ARI: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-12	MIN 4 - 1 ARI	MIN	ARI
2024-03-07	ARI 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	ARI
2024-02-14	ARI 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	ARI
2024-01-13	MIN 0 - 6 ARI	ARI	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	19	1	1.56
1	ARI	8	0	0.46
2	MIN	19	2	1.37
2	ARI	14	0	0.52
3	MIN	17	3	2.38
3	ARI	12	0	0.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2