Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-03-12 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 54.8%

VGK: 45.2%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.21

VGK: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SEA at home vs VGK: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK
2025-04-10	VGK 2 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	16	1	1.08
1	VGK	9	0	0.35
2	SEA	18	0	0.74
2	VGK	20	0	1.41
3	SEA	6	0	0.39
3	VGK	15	1	0.76
4	SEA	3	0	0.42
4	VGK	5	2	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3