Los Angeles Kings at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-03-13 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 49.8%
LAK: 50.2%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.08
LAK: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 45%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs LAK: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | LAK 2 - 1 STL | LAK | LAK |
| 2026-01-24 | STL 4 - 5 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-10-21 | STL 1 - 2 LAK | LAK | STL |
| 2025-03-08 | LAK 2 - 1 STL | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-05 | LAK 2 - 3 STL | STL | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 12 | 0 | 0.41 |
| 1 | LAK | 17 | 0 | 0.57 |
| 2 | STL | 19 | 1 | 1.12 |
| 2 | LAK | 18 | 1 | 1.12 |
| 3 | STL | 11 | 1 | 1.11 |
| 3 | LAK | 19 | 1 | 1.32 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1
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