Washington Capitals at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-03-13 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 7 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

EDM: 69.8%

WSH: 30.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 4.04

WSH: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs WSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-24	EDM 6 - 5 WSH	EDM	EDM
2025-11-19	WSH 7 - 4 EDM	WSH	WSH
2025-02-23	WSH 7 - 3 EDM	WSH	EDM
2025-01-21	EDM 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	EDM
2024-03-13	EDM 7 - 2 WSH	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	14	2	1.72
1	WSH	9	1	0.55
2	EDM	12	0	1.14
2	WSH	11	1	0.82
3	EDM	17	1	1.07
3	WSH	15	0	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 7 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 4.0 - 2.9