Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-03-13 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 52.1%

COL: 47.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.40

COL: 5.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • VAN at home vs COL: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	COL 6 - 8 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-12-02	COL 3 - 1 VAN	COL	COL
2025-11-09	VAN 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-10	COL 1 - 4 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-02-04	VAN 3 - 0 COL	VAN	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	7	0	0.35
1	COL	9	1	0.83
2	VAN	15	0	0.84
2	COL	15	0	0.60
3	VAN	5	1	0.43
3	COL	26	2	2.20
4	VAN	0	0	0.00
4	COL	1	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.9

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.4 - 5.5