New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-03-14 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 0 New York Islanders

Win Probability

BUF: 54.4%

NYI: 45.6%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.22

NYI: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • BUF at home vs NYI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	BUF 4 - 3 NYI	BUF	BUF
2026-01-24	NYI 0 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-12-20	BUF 3 - 2 NYI	BUF	BUF
2024-12-23	NYI 1 - 7 BUF	BUF	NYI
2024-11-30	NYI 3 - 0 BUF	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	14	0	0.63
1	NYI	8	0	0.48
2	BUF	20	1	0.99
2	NYI	11	0	0.39
3	BUF	12	2	2.04
3	NYI	13	1	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 0 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9