Arizona Coyotes at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-03-14 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 4 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

DET: 49.4%

ARI: 50.6%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.38

ARI: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • DET at home vs ARI: 0-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-14	DET 1 - 4 ARI	ARI	ARI
2024-03-08	ARI 4 - 0 DET	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	12	0	1.13
1	ARI	12	1	0.79
2	DET	13	1	0.63
2	ARI	14	0	0.64
3	DET	12	0	0.47
3	ARI	17	1	1.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 4 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8