San Jose Sharks at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-03-14 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

PIT: 69.7%

SJS: 30.3%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.79

SJS: 2.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	PIT 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	PIT
2025-10-18	SJS 0 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-01-27	SJS 2 - 1 PIT	SJS	PIT
2024-11-16	PIT 4 - 3 SJS	PIT	PIT
2024-03-14	PIT 6 - 3 SJS	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	16	0	0.89
1	SJS	19	1	1.75
2	PIT	20	1	0.93
2	SJS	14	0	0.64
3	PIT	8	1	1.25
3	SJS	21	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.5