Ottawa Senators at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-03-16 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 4 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

NYI: 43.1%

OTT: 56.9%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.08

OTT: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs OTT: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	NYI 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-03-19	OTT 3 - 2 NYI	OTT	OTT
2025-10-18	OTT 4 - 5 NYI	NYI	OTT
2025-01-14	NYI 0 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-08	OTT 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NYI	8	0.60
1	OTT	9	0.30
2	NYI	15	0.56
2	OTT	19	0.86
3	NYI	14	0.43
3	OTT	12	0.82
4	NYI	2	0.11
4	OTT	4	0.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 4 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2