New Jersey Devils at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2024-03-16 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

ARI: 50.5%

NJD: 49.5%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.10

NJD: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • ARI at home vs NJD: 1-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-16	ARI 4 - 1 NJD	ARI	ARI
2023-10-13	NJD 3 - 4 ARI	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	19	1	1.09
1	NJD	21	0	1.26
2	ARI	9	0	0.74
2	NJD	16	0	0.88
3	ARI	12	3	1.68
3	NJD	16	0	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9