Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-03-16 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 6 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 48.0%

PHI: 52.0%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.11

PHI: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BOS at home vs PHI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PHI 2 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-02-28	PHI 3 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-01-29	BOS 6 - 3 PHI	BOS	BOS
2024-12-07	BOS 4 - 3 PHI	BOS	PHI
2024-11-02	PHI 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	6	0	0.35
1	PHI	9	0	0.73
2	BOS	19	1	1.37
2	PHI	13	0	0.43
3	BOS	17	3	1.74
3	PHI	16	2	1.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 6 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2