Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-03-16 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 6 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 60.7%
PHI: 39.3%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.58
PHI: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | BOS | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • BOS at home vs PHI: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | BOS 6 - 3 PHI | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-12-07 | BOS 4 - 3 PHI | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-11-02 | PHI 0 - 3 BOS | BOS | PHI |
| 2024-10-29 | BOS 0 - 2 PHI | PHI | BOS |
| 2024-03-23 | PHI 3 - 2 BOS | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:18 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 15:51 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 12:01 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:22 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 01:08 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 03:45 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 04:04 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 14:12 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 15:14 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 17:01 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 17:56 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 6 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.6 - 3.0