Montreal Canadiens at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2024-03-16 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 5 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 62.8%
MTL: 37.2%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.54
MTL: 2.63
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | CGY | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.906 | 0.973 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CGY at home vs MTL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | MTL 4 - 1 CGY | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-22 | CGY 1 - 2 MTL | MTL | CGY |
| 2025-03-08 | CGY 1 - 0 MTL | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-11-05 | MTL 2 - 3 CGY | CGY | MTL |
| 2024-03-16 | CGY 5 - 2 MTL | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:23 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 00:11 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 07:41 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 10:34 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 18:25 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 01:01 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 03:54 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 5 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6