Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-03-16 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

DAL: 62.0%

LAK: 38.0%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.42

LAK: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DAL at home vs LAK: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	LAK 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	LAK
2025-12-15	DAL 4 - 1 LAK	DAL	DAL
2025-10-23	DAL 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	DAL
2025-02-28	DAL 6 - 2 LAK	DAL	LAK
2025-02-07	LAK 5 - 4 DAL	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	14	0	0.61
1	LAK	14	0	0.31
2	DAL	13	0	0.78
2	LAK	11	0	0.45
3	DAL	9	0	0.60
3	LAK	12	1	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0