Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-03-16 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Win (64% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 35.9%

MIN: 64.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.14

MIN: 3.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 38%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • STL at home vs MIN: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	15	0	0.52
1	MIN	9	0	0.50
2	STL	16	0	0.72
2	MIN	11	0	0.49
3	STL	18	0	0.80
3	MIN	9	1	0.78
4	STL	2	0	0.10
4	MIN	2	0	0.10
5	STL	4	2	1.77
5	MIN	4	1	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 3.6