Washington Capitals at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-03-16 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 2 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 53.3%

WSH: 46.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.21

WSH: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs WSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	VAN 4 - 3 WSH	VAN	VAN
2025-10-19	WSH 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	WSH
2025-01-25	VAN 2 - 1 WSH	VAN	VAN
2025-01-08	WSH 2 - 1 VAN	WSH	WSH
2024-03-16	VAN 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	12	0	0.69
1	WSH	11	0	0.75
2	VAN	11	0	0.45
2	WSH	17	2	1.43
3	VAN	20	0	0.64
3	WSH	6	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.2 - 3.4