New York Islanders at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-03-17 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 2 New York Islanders

Win Probability

NYR: 50.9%

NYI: 49.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.07

NYI: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs NYI: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	NYR 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYR
2026-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-12-27	NYI 2 - 0 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-11-08	NYR 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYR
2025-04-10	NYI 2 - 9 NYR	NYR	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NYR	18	0.74
1	NYI	13	0.59
2	NYR	17	0.69
2	NYI	19	0.90
3	NYR	14	0.64
3	NYI	10	0.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 5 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2