Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-03-17 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 2 - 7 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

OTT: 48.7%

CAR: 51.3%

Expected Goals

OTT: 2.89

CAR: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • OTT at home vs CAR: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-25	OTT 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-23	OTT 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-20	CAR 3 - 2 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-18	CAR 2 - 0 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-05	OTT 6 - 3 CAR	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	12	1	1.14
1	CAR	18	0	0.91
2	OTT	16	0	0.43
2	CAR	17	2	1.58
3	OTT	17	0	0.82
3	CAR	21	0	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 2 - 7 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4