Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-03-17 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

PIT: 65.9%

DET: 34.1%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.67

DET: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • PIT at home vs DET: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	PIT 5 - 1 DET	PIT	PIT
2026-01-03	DET 1 - 4 PIT	PIT	PIT
2026-01-01	PIT 4 - 3 DET	PIT	PIT
2024-12-31	DET 4 - 2 PIT	DET	DET
2024-11-13	PIT 2 - 3 DET	DET	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	24	0	1.17
1	DET	11	1	0.86
2	PIT	14	1	0.92
2	DET	16	1	0.56
3	PIT	20	6	3.32
3	DET	15	0	1.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.7 - 2.7