Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-03-17 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 4 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 49.6%
ANA: 50.4%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.94
ANA: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 38%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs ANA: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | ANA 2 - 6 STL | STL | ANA |
| 2026-03-08 | ANA 0 - 4 STL | STL | ANA |
| 2025-12-01 | STL 1 - 4 ANA | ANA | STL |
| 2025-03-16 | STL 7 - 2 ANA | STL | STL |
| 2025-03-07 | ANA 3 - 4 STL | STL | STL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 14 | 0 | 0.95 |
| 1 | ANA | 10 | 2 | 1.00 |
| 2 | STL | 13 | 1 | 1.01 |
| 2 | ANA | 17 | 0 | 1.04 |
| 3 | STL | 13 | 2 | 1.52 |
| 3 | ANA | 13 | 0 | 0.71 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 4 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0
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