Washington Capitals at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-03-18 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 5 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

CGY: 44.7%

WSH: 55.3%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.51

WSH: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs WSH: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	WSH 7 - 3 CGY	WSH	WSH
2026-01-23	CGY 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-02-25	WSH 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-01-28	CGY 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	CGY
2024-03-18	CGY 2 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	17	0	0.63
1	WSH	9	0	0.42
2	CGY	16	2	1.83
2	WSH	19	0	0.76
3	CGY	20	1	1.20
3	WSH	12	1	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 5 Washington Capitals

Expected: 2.5 - 3.4