Columbus Blue Jackets at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-03-19 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets
🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 45.3%
CBJ: 54.7%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.12
CBJ: 3.27
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 48%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DET at home vs CBJ: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | DET 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-12-04 | CBJ 6 - 5 DET | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-11-22 | DET 4 - 3 CBJ | DET | DET |
| 2025-03-01 | CBJ 5 - 3 DET | CBJ | DET |
| 2025-02-27 | DET 2 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | DET |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | 11 | 0 | 0.83 |
| 1 | CBJ | 26 | 3 | 1.80 |
| 2 | DET | 10 | 2 | 0.91 |
| 2 | CBJ | 12 | 0 | 0.77 |
| 3 | DET | 14 | 2 | 1.46 |
| 3 | CBJ | 10 | 1 | 0.87 |
| 4 | DET | 2 | 1 | 0.61 |
| 4 | CBJ | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.1 - 3.3
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