Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-03-19 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

NJD: 50.3%

PIT: 49.7%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.34

PIT: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NJD at home vs PIT: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	NJD
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	22	1	1.32
1	PIT	15	0	0.91
2	NJD	16	1	0.98
2	PIT	21	0	1.00
3	NJD	20	2	2.69
3	PIT	8	0	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 5 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2