Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-03-19 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

NYR: 46.2%

WPG: 53.8%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.39

WPG: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 55%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYR at home vs WPG: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYR 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	NYR
2026-03-12	WPG 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-11	WPG 2 - 1 NYR	WPG	WPG
2024-11-12	NYR 3 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-19	NYR 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	18	0	0.94
1	WPG	10	0	0.54
2	NYR	15	0	0.74
2	WPG	15	0	0.85
3	NYR	22	0	1.52
3	WPG	8	2	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.4 - 3.4