Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-03-19 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

NYI: 44.7%

CAR: 55.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.98

CAR: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NYI at home vs CAR: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	9	1	0.73
1	CAR	17	0	0.85
2	NYI	14	0	0.48
2	CAR	18	1	1.07
3	NYI	16	1	1.07
3	CAR	10	1	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4