Arizona Coyotes at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-03-20 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 5 - 2 Arizona Coyotes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 62.5%
ARI: 37.5%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.30
ARI: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
| Stat | DAL | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.57 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs ARI: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-24 | ARI 2 - 4 DAL | DAL | ARI |
| 2024-03-20 | DAL 5 - 2 ARI | DAL | DAL |
| 2023-11-14 | DAL 4 - 3 ARI | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:45 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 07:34 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:55 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:24 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 04:12 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 05:25 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 08:50 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 5 - 2 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1