Arizona Coyotes at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-03-20 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 5 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

DAL: 57.1%

ARI: 42.9%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.50

ARI: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • DAL at home vs ARI: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-24	ARI 2 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-03-20	DAL 5 - 2 ARI	DAL	DAL
2023-11-14	DAL 4 - 3 ARI	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	12	0	0.79
1	ARI	13	1	0.91
2	DAL	19	1	1.52
2	ARI	6	0	0.18
3	DAL	16	1	1.29
3	ARI	17	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 5 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1