Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-03-21 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

CAR: 59.4%

PHI: 40.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.37

PHI: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs PHI: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	13	0	0.66
1	PHI	13	0	0.95
2	CAR	18	0	0.75
2	PHI	10	1	0.90
3	CAR	9	0	0.28
3	PHI	24	2	1.44
4	CAR	3	0	0.25
4	PHI	2	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6