Winnipeg Jets at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-03-21 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 48.2%

WPG: 51.8%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.06

WPG: 3.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NJD at home vs WPG: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	NJD 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	NJD
2026-01-11	WPG 4 - 3 NJD	WPG	NJD
2025-03-28	WPG 4 - 0 NJD	WPG	WPG
2025-03-07	NJD 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	NJD
2024-03-21	NJD 4 - 1 WPG	NJD	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	10	0	0.67
1	WPG	10	0	0.60
2	NJD	27	1	1.38
2	WPG	14	0	0.82
3	NJD	18	2	1.83
3	WPG	9	0	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.7