Buffalo Sabres at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-03-21 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 8 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

EDM: 57.1%

BUF: 42.9%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.06

BUF: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • EDM at home vs BUF: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	EDM 3 - 4 BUF	BUF	EDM
2025-11-17	BUF 5 - 1 EDM	BUF	EDM
2025-03-10	BUF 3 - 2 EDM	BUF	EDM
2025-01-25	EDM 3 - 2 BUF	EDM	EDM
2024-03-21	EDM 8 - 3 BUF	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	22	3	2.23
1	BUF	14	1	0.81
2	EDM	12	1	1.29
2	BUF	15	0	0.97
3	EDM	18	0	1.59
3	BUF	8	1	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 8 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8