Montreal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-03-21 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 1 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

VAN: 67.3%

MTL: 32.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.90

MTL: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs MTL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	MTL 6 - 3 VAN	MTL	MTL
2025-10-25	VAN 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-03-11	VAN 2 - 4 MTL	MTL	VAN
2025-01-06	MTL 5 - 4 VAN	MTL	MTL
2024-03-21	VAN 4 - 1 MTL	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	21	1	1.38
1	MTL	10	0	0.50
2	VAN	10	0	0.47
2	MTL	11	0	0.72
3	VAN	15	1	0.93
3	MTL	5	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 1 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.9 - 3.0