Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-03-21 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

VGK: 56.3%

SEA: 43.7%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.33

SEA: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • VGK at home vs SEA: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK
2025-04-10	VGK 2 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	16	1	1.64
1	SEA	10	0	0.55
2	VGK	16	0	1.32
2	SEA	11	0	0.41
3	VGK	22	2	1.58
3	SEA	10	0	0.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0