Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-03-23 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

PHI: 61.5%

BOS: 38.5%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.56

BOS: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • PHI at home vs BOS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PHI 2 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-02-28	PHI 3 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-01-29	BOS 6 - 3 PHI	BOS	BOS
2024-12-07	BOS 4 - 3 PHI	BOS	PHI
2024-11-02	PHI 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	9	0	0.35
1	BOS	10	2	0.87
2	PHI	13	2	1.17
2	BOS	12	0	0.58
3	PHI	23	1	1.10
3	BOS	11	1	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0