St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-03-23 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 5 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 69.4%

STL: 30.6%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.68

STL: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • MIN at home vs STL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	11	0	0.26
1	STL	13	1	1.32
2	MIN	19	0	1.18
2	STL	12	0	0.57
3	MIN	22	1	1.54
3	STL	13	0	0.53
4	MIN	1	1	0.22
4	STL	1	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 69.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.7 - 2.9